As of round 17 Race · updated 10/13/2026, 07:18 PM (Japan time)
Moto3 · Commentary after round 17, Indonesian GP
A champion already crowned because his scoring never dipped from the first half of the season to the second
- Five rounds remain, including the uncertain Qatar GP, but the title is already decided: Maximo Quiles is champion, and in a simulation of 10,000 seasons from this year's results the leader is never beaten.
- The remaining fight is for 2nd place, where David Almansa is given an 87% chance by the same simulation. Brian Uriarte is at 10% and Alvaro Carpe at 4% for that place.
- The champion's final margin is expected to be around 158 points.
Maximo Quiles What decided Maximo Quiles's title is that his scoring held level across the whole year, with 170 points in the first half of the season and 181 in the second. He has 10 race wins and 15 podiums. He scored in every one of the 16 races he started, with the British GP the only round he missed.
With the crown settled, the order behind it is still open to whatever the riders and a few unpredictable afternoons decide to do with these percentages.
Title chances at this point (top 3)
Maximo Quiles 100%
An estimate calculated from past data. It does not predict race results with certainty. About our predictions
What happened next (points at the next round → total)
The next round has not been raced yet.
Written by AI (Claude) from the numbers in the official results DB. Every number has been checked against the DB. Updated Oct 14, 2026, 9:44 PM (Japan time)