As of round 17 Race · updated 10/13/2026, 07:18 PM (Japan time)
Moto2 2026
A second-half surge has cut the Moto2 title gap to 5.5 points
Moto2: what it takes at the Australian GP
GONZALEZtitle chance now 63%
If GONZALEZ finishes ahead of GUEVARA in the next race, GONZALEZ's title chance becomes 76% (now 63%); with no points, 41%.
GUEVARAtitle chance now 37%
If GUEVARA finishes ahead of GONZALEZ in the next race, GUEVARA's title chance becomes 54% (now 37%); with no points, 19%.
The rest of the season simulated 10,000 times; the share of titles counted separately for each result in the next race (sprint results not split).
An estimate calculated from past data. It does not predict race results with certainty. About our predictions
Standings
- 1
Manuel Gonzalez265.5 - 2 Izan Guevara260
- 3 Ivan Ortola191.5
- 4 Daniel Holgado170
- 5
David Alonso166 - 6
Senna Agius165 - 7
Filip Salac153 - 8
Celestino Vietti133 - 9 Alonso Lopez125.5
- 10 Daniel Muñoz83