As of round 17 Race · updated 10/13/2026, 07:18 PM (Japan time)

MotoGP 2026

A second-half surge has turned a 102-point deficit into a two-rider fight with almost nothing between them

MotoGP: what it takes at the Australian GP

MARQUEZtitle chance now 69%
If MARQUEZ finishes ahead of MARTIN in the next race, MARQUEZ's title chance becomes 81% (now 69%); with no points, 49%.

MARTINtitle chance now 28%
If MARTIN finishes ahead of MARQUEZ in the next race, MARTIN's title chance becomes 43% (now 28%); with no points, 14%.

The rest of the season simulated 10,000 times; the share of titles counted separately for each result in the next race (sprint results not split).

An estimate calculated from past data. It does not predict race results with certainty. About our predictions

Standings

1 Jorge Martin355
2 Marc Marquez353
3 Marco Bezzecchi309
4 Ai Ogura259
5 Pedro Acosta258
6 Fabio Di Giannantonio245
7 Raul Fernandez236
8 Alex Marquez172
9 Francesco Bagnaia166
10 Fermin Aldeguer125

Full standings and commentary →